The House of Commons doesn’t sit on Fridays. The corridors of power in the Palace of Westminster are quiet today. But on Monday, MPs will gather for the swearing in of their newest member – the now former mayor of Greater Manchester, Andy Burnham.
Over today and the weekend, though, one question is on everyone’s mind: what happens next?
Will Keir Starmer offer Burnham a job in cabinet? How soon does Burnham officially launch his leadership bid? Will Wes Streeting move first? Will we get the contest Streeting says he is pushing for, or will he settle in return for a big job?
Those are important Westminster questions. For further education, there is another one: What sort of prime minister would Andy Burnham be for FE?
Burnham’s win today ends a nine-year stint as mayor of Greater Manchester. Voters in the north west city region now have to choose a new mayor, triggering another Labour vs Reform UK battle which shouldn’t be overlooked.
During his two-and-a-half terms in the role, Burnham has not shied away from picking fights with Westminster on devolved powers for 16-to-19 education, and spoken out loudly and consistently about equally valued technical and academic education routes.
But the sector should resist the temptation to swoon just because a senior politician can say “technical education” without sounding like he’s only just been briefed on it.
Burnhamism may mean a higher political status for FE, more devolution and a more serious alternative to university narrative. Burnham’s brother, Nick, is principal of Cardinal Newman College, a sixth-form college in Preston. His most famous policy innovation over his two-and-a-half mayoral terms, the Greater Manchester baccalaureate (MBacc), made headlines, but not necessarily headway.
College leaders are looking down the barrel of more squeezes on funding on every budget line. Unfortunately for Burnham, they can’t hire construction lecturers or fund teacher pay rises with rhetoric.
Not a recent convert
Burnham’s record on technical education and apprenticeships didn’t start as mayor.
In his first stab at running for Labour leader in 2010 following the downfall of Gordon Brown, his pitch was what he called “aspirational socialism”. His case was then for all young people to be given the chance to be the best they can be.
There wasn’t a detailed FE pitch. He was better known at the time for his stances on health, social care and his idea for a National Care Service.
But he did, more than his 2010 rivals, talk about young people not pursuing traditional academic education pathways and warned against declining practical and vocational education opportunities for 11 to 16-year-olds.
The clearer FE offer came in 2015, Burnham’s second go at the Labour leadership.
His manifesto promised “true parity between academic and technical education”, a national UCAS-style system for apprenticeships (since tried and dropped), and access to student finance to help people relocate for an apprenticeship. He also proposed, as was fashionable at the time, replacing higher education tuition fees with a graduate tax.
That was a decade ago. A time before “skills for growth” was mainstreamed into the lexicon.
Burnham was an MP for 16 years, was a non-education cabinet minister, and later shadow education secretary under Ed Miliband, fighting against Michael Gove’s cuts to the education maintenance allowance for 16 to 19-year-olds.
His pre-mayoral record on FE was more thematic than substantial: devolve power out of Westminster, labour-market fairness, social mobility and scepticism about markets in public services.
The Greater Manchester experiment
“Saying Westminster’s where it’s at, that’s where everything happens and you’re not really a serious politician unless you’re in Westminster would be the biggest mistake”, Burnham told The Guardian in 2016. Fast forward ten years, he’s heading back to “where it’s at”.
Burnham’s first mayoral manifesto in 2017 promised a “revolution in technical education”.
The language was classic Burnham at the time; confident, unambiguous and designed to suggest that Greater Manchester could succeed where Whitehall had failed.
A “UCAS-style application system for apprenticeships” reappeared as part of a catalogue of commitments for 14+ education and training, which also included expanding adult education and retraining.
His 2017 manifesto also talked about retaining apprenticeship levy cash raised by Greater Manchester businesses to spend locally, and turning it into a wider skills levy. If that sounds familiar, Labour’s 2024 general election made the same commitment but without letting mayors control funding.
By his 2021 re-election run, Burnham’s Greater Manchester Apprenticeships and Careers Service (GMAC) a local alternative to UCAS for young people who didn’t want to go university, was on offer. His manifesto also committed to using the £92 million devolved adult education budget for green and digital courses while prioritising digital literacy and ESOL.
Then came the MBacc proposal – the Greater Manchester baccalaureate.
When it was time to run again in 2024, he was ready to roll out his quasi-qualification, designed to challenge the Govian EBacc with a badge for a more inclusive basket of subject choices at age 14 to 19.
“While the English baccalaureate concentrates on the subjects most valued by universities, the MBacc will focus on those most valued by Greater Manchester employers,” the manifesto said.
So with A Levels, UCAS and university as one route, Burnham’s MBacc, T Levels, GMAC and apprenticeships would form the other “of equal value”.
His plan was that, by 2030, Greater Manchester’s year 11s would be firmly in one of two neat education pathways taking them through to employment, apprenticeships or higher education.
But neat pathways on paper don’t always make for neat delivery.
Burnham on the buses
Burnham has a gift for turning a policy problem into a branded mission across his portfolio, with the notable exception of adult education.
The Bee Network, Live Well, Housing First, the MBacc. This approach gives people something to organise around, but wouldn’t necessarily go down well nationally in a sector reeling with ‘initiativeitis’.
The MBacc is not yet a national model. It’s not even fully embedded in Greater Manchester, and it relies on a chain of organisations locally to behave in a certain way, which is easier to marshal as a mayor than as prime minister.
But Burnham does appear to have understood something that ministers in Westminster often miss in education – participation is about more than curriculum and qualifications.
His 2017 mayoral pledge for free or cheaper public transport for 16 to 18-year-olds was central to his technical education plank. His 2024 manifesto recommitted to maintaining Our Pass – a travel subsidy scheme for 16 to 18-year-olds and care leavers – and promised half-price monthly passes for 18 to 21-year-olds to back up the MBacc.
Meanwhile in Westminster, conversations about public transport subsidies for young sixth formers and apprentices are shut down as unaffordable.
College students need to travel. Apprentices need to get to work and to training. Young people on specialist courses may need to travel even further these days to get to a new technical excellence college.
A prime minister serious about technical education needs to understand that “parity” and “opportunity” mean transport and maintenance, not just new qualifications.
Adults in the room
Burnham was one of the first mayors in England to have full control of a devolved adult education budget back in 2019. Despite that, local sources struggled to pin down a flagship Burnham win on adult education or lifelong learning beyond the common “flexibilities” you see across devolved areas.
Burnham himself said progressing an agenda on adult education was “hard to achieve” because he needed “more control” over employment support from the Department for Work and Pensions, and his budget from Whitehall was being cut.
At an MBacc launch event last year, one education leader told FE Week that Burnham was “too quiet” on adult education, where he has statutory powers and responsibilities, and was instead prioritising “vanity projects” like the MBacc.
But Burnham did secure Greater Manchester as one of the first two “integrated settlement” areas, effectively exempting ringfence restrictions around various adult skills funding pots.
One of the first things Burnham did with those new powers was to drop skills bootcamps.
Prime devolver Burnham
Whitehall bureaucrats famously resist devolving things, not least at the Department for Education.
Last year, skills minister Jacqui Smith admitted to “tensions” with mayors, led by Burnham, over calls for more devolution of education funding.
Burnham has had some wins. Greater Manchester was one of two “trailblazers” announced in 2023 afforded “deeper” devolution powers. But trailblazers in reality only offered minor tweaks and flexibilities compared to the full control of apprenticeships and 16-to-19 education he wanted.
If Burnham goes all the way, the keys to Downing Street come with strings attached. If he is successful in ousting Starmer, he inherits a manifesto and a mandate the country voted for only two years ago.
He didn’t have a defence investment plan to finance while in Greater Manchester. As mayor he could comfortably argue for devolution because he wasn’t the one giving power away.
As PM, Burnham would no longer be the man outside the Treasury blaming the centre for hoarding power to justify lack of progress.
It is one thing to put technical education on a pedestal from afar. It is quite another to do what needs to be done on school accountability, on careers and, crucially, on 16 to 19 and adult education funding.
FE leaders will likely then welcome Burnham’s return with interest, rather than applause.